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2024-12-13 04:47:29

Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.On the contrary, if it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to escape as at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.


This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.If you don't have stocks in your hand, don't worry in the morning, just wait for the new cycle to start, confirm the resonance theme, and get on the bus in various postures. In this emotional fragile stage, the most taboo is to follow the trend and go up to the top, regardless of whether it is up or down, we must maintain our own judgment, do not follow suit, make a good plan, and then implement it. Remember one thing, no market will end in a day or two.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.


In my opinion, if the meeting on the next 11-12 days falls short of expectations (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;How to judge whether it is less than expected? It is very simple. If the high-end large-cap stocks such as banks, oil and coal rise, it will be bad. If the large-cap stocks rise and the index rises (28 differentiation), but the small and medium-cap stocks do not rise, it will also be bad. This is the big money to pull the large-cap stocks up to cover the shipment of individual stocks. And vice versa.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.

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